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Motorsport Week
Home Single Seater Formula 1

Who could win the 2026 F1 Drivers’ Championship?

byMotorsport Week
2 months ago
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F1 overtaking will require new skills in the 2026 season
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Formula 1 returns this weekend in Melbourne, and the 2026 season arrives with a very different feel. This is not just another new campaign. It marks the beginning of a completely new technical era for the sport.

Fresh regulations mean new cars, new engines, different tyres, and even new fuel. Whenever that happens, the usual pecking order can quickly change. Teams that struggled before sometimes find themselves suddenly competitive, while others need time to understand the new machinery.

A huge rule reset

The biggest storyline this year is the scale of the regulation changes.

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Power units now rely much more heavily on electrical energy than before. The electric motor produces far more power, bringing it much closer to the output of the traditional combustion engine.

Because battery capacity has not increased significantly, drivers now have to carefully manage how and when they deploy energy. Cars constantly recharge and drain their systems during a lap, meaning performance can fluctuate depending on energy levels.

The cars themselves are also smaller and lighter, with less downforce. That makes them more agile but also trickier to drive, especially through fast corners.

All of this adds up to a season where teams are still figuring things out. The opening races could reveal big surprises.

Lando Norris

Lando Norris enters the season as the defending world champion.

Last year’s title fight was one of the closest in recent memory, with Norris eventually beating Max Verstappen by just two points. His championship charge was built on a strong run in the second half of the season after a difficult opening few races.

The challenge now is doing it again.

Lando Norris enjoyed a competitive if unspectacular pre-season test in Bahrain
Lando Norris enjoyed a competitive if unspectacular pre-season test in Bahrain

Norris has admitted there are still areas of his driving he wants to improve, particularly when adapting quickly to new cars. In a season built around fresh regulations, that ability could be crucial.

He also faces competition inside his own team, with a talented teammate eager to take the next step.

George Russell

If you look at the F1 betting odds, you’ll see that George Russell arrives in Melbourne as the early favourite for the title.

After struggling under the previous rule set, his team appears to have produced a car that suits the new regulations far better. Early signs suggest it is quick and well-balanced, which has given Russell plenty of confidence heading into the opening race.

At 28, he believes he is ready to challenge for a championship. If the car performs as expected across the first few rounds, he could quickly become the driver everyone else is chasing.

Max Verstappen

It would be a mistake to overlook Max Verstappen.

The four-time world champion remains one of the most complete drivers in Formula 1. His pace, race craft and consistency make him a threat regardless of how the new rules shake out.

It's the third and final day of the first week of F1 testing
It’s the third and final day of the first week of F1 testing which ended with Max Verstappen on top

If his team’s new engine project continues to perform well, Verstappen will almost certainly be part of the title fight again.

There is also the potential for tension if he ends up battling Russell over the championship, given the rivalry that has developed between them in recent seasons.

Early clues in Melbourne

The 2026 Australian Grand Prix will not decide the championship, but it should provide the first hints about how the season might unfold.

With brand new regulations shaping the sport’s future, this year’s title race could turn into one of the most unpredictable Formula 1 seasons in years.

Tags: F1FerrariGeorge RussellLando NorrisLewis HamiltonMax VerstappenMcLarenMercedesRedBull
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